SP2.2.15MRCS performance predicts surgical career outcomes

Abstract Aims Successful completion of the MRCS examination is mandatory for progression into higher surgical (registrar) training in UK. National selection programmes a highly competitive process. Despite this, ranking applicants does not currently include performance scores. This offers unique opportunity to compare two independent assessments trainees establish whether can predict future career outcomes and competitiveness training. Methods All UK candidates who attempted between 2007-2020 were matched outcome data using GMC list registered medical practitioners anonymised (n = 2910). Chi-squared tests determined associations with first attempt pass/fail outcomes. Multinomial regression models developed predictive power success at determining specialty deanery choices. Results There was statistically significant variability Part A pass rates, ranging from 55.1%-76.7% specialties (P 0.001) but no B rates 0.655). deaneries 0.010 P 0.036 respectively). Pass ranged 59.9%-77.7% 70.1%-85.0% deaneries. Those more performed better terms rate, scores number attempts taken pass. Conclusion an early predictor choice competitiveness. Trainees perform well are likely enter